The Run-In
Posted: Wed Mar 15, 2023 12:45 pm
I've not included Cambridge, because, let's face it, if they catch & pass us, we're down. And I've not included Burton, because while they may still go down, it won't be because we've finished above them. Realistically, for us to survive we need to be in front of two, from Oxford, Accrington and/or Milton Keynes.
Oxford: 10 games left. 36 points. GD -10
Morecambe [a], Cheltenham [h], Peterborough [a], Sheff Wed [h], Port Vale [a], Bolton [h], Portsmouth [h], Barnsley [a], Forest Green [a], Accrington [h]
Accrington: 11 games left. 35 points. GD -25
MK Dons [h], Plymouth [h], Exeter [a], Port Vale [h], Sheff Wed [a], Fleetwood [h], Peterborough [h], Portsmouth [a], Bolton [a], Cambridge Utd [h], Oxford Utd [a]
Milton Keynes: 10 games left. 33 points. GD -22
Accrington [a], Morecambe [h], Wycombe [a], Portsmouth [h], Derby [a], Cheltenham [h], Charlton [h], Fleetwood [a], Barnsley [h], Burton [a]
Morecambe: 9 games left. 33 points. GD -25
Oxford Utd [h], MK Dons [a], Barnsley [a], Plymouth [h], Portsmouth [a], Wycombe [h], Charlton [a], Lincoln [h], Exeter [a]
Oxford probably have the easiest run-in, playing us, Cheltenham, Forest Green & Accrington.
Milton Keynes also have four games against bottom sides, Accrington, us, Cheltenham & Burton.
Accrington have three games against relegation threatened sides, Milton Keynes, Cambridge & Oxford.
We have two games against relegation rivals, Oxford & Milton Keynes, and arguably the toughest run-in.
I think if we fail to pick up six points in the next two games, we will go down, partly because I can't see where the other points will come from and also because we need to stop our rivals too. Win both and it remains a tough challenge, but we're still in the scrap.
Oxford: 10 games left. 36 points. GD -10
Morecambe [a], Cheltenham [h], Peterborough [a], Sheff Wed [h], Port Vale [a], Bolton [h], Portsmouth [h], Barnsley [a], Forest Green [a], Accrington [h]
Accrington: 11 games left. 35 points. GD -25
MK Dons [h], Plymouth [h], Exeter [a], Port Vale [h], Sheff Wed [a], Fleetwood [h], Peterborough [h], Portsmouth [a], Bolton [a], Cambridge Utd [h], Oxford Utd [a]
Milton Keynes: 10 games left. 33 points. GD -22
Accrington [a], Morecambe [h], Wycombe [a], Portsmouth [h], Derby [a], Cheltenham [h], Charlton [h], Fleetwood [a], Barnsley [h], Burton [a]
Morecambe: 9 games left. 33 points. GD -25
Oxford Utd [h], MK Dons [a], Barnsley [a], Plymouth [h], Portsmouth [a], Wycombe [h], Charlton [a], Lincoln [h], Exeter [a]
Oxford probably have the easiest run-in, playing us, Cheltenham, Forest Green & Accrington.
Milton Keynes also have four games against bottom sides, Accrington, us, Cheltenham & Burton.
Accrington have three games against relegation threatened sides, Milton Keynes, Cambridge & Oxford.
We have two games against relegation rivals, Oxford & Milton Keynes, and arguably the toughest run-in.
I think if we fail to pick up six points in the next two games, we will go down, partly because I can't see where the other points will come from and also because we need to stop our rivals too. Win both and it remains a tough challenge, but we're still in the scrap.