1 in 2 chance of staying up!

1 in 2 chance of staying up!

Postby Keith » Tue Apr 11, 2023 5:39 pm

What's the round before the quarter-finals called?

If we're accepting we pretty much have to win the remaining games to have a chance of staying up, it's like being in the last 32 of a cup competition.

We've been 'drawn' at home to Wycombe on Saturday.
If we win, we're in the quarter-final, away at Charlton.
Beat them, and it is a semi-final, at home to Lincoln.
If we're still in it, then comes a huge final, away at Exeter.

Any draws, will be like losing on penalties!

Okay, not scientific and there may be a few more variables, but if this was a 'last 32' of a cup, and that was our 'road to the final', we'd be thinking, 'we might just do this', so come on lads, a win on Saturday and get this 'cup run' going! :roll: 8-) 8-) 8-)
“Britain faces a simple and inescapable choice - stability and strong Government with me, or chaos with Ed Miliband: ".

David Cameron. May 4th 2015.
So how did that work out then?
User avatar
Keith
Site Admin
 
Posts: 22413
Joined: Wed Jun 18, 2008 3:39 pm
Location: Isle of Man

Re: 1 in 32 chance of staying up!

Postby black morse » Tue Apr 11, 2023 6:44 pm

Whatever! :roll:
black morse
 
Posts: 5577
Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2011 7:59 am
Location: South Devon

Re: 1 in 32 chance of staying up!

Postby Wild Bill » Tue Apr 11, 2023 7:27 pm

At this stage you just hope we go into our last home game with something to play for. Even better, Exeter away on the last game of the season. No point though thinking too far ahead. Lets just try everything to beat Wycombe.
Wild Bill
 
Posts: 3025
Joined: Wed Jul 02, 2008 8:21 am

Re: 1 in 32 chance of staying up!

Postby marky No.1 » Tue Apr 11, 2023 7:34 pm

Too much pop on your Birthday, Keith?
Enjoy yourself.... It is later than you think
User avatar
marky No.1
 
Posts: 22253
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2008 4:09 pm
Location: Carnforth

Re: 1 in 32 chance of staying up!

Postby broadwayshrimp » Wed Apr 12, 2023 7:44 am

Even better. It's 1 in 16 isn't it.
broadwayshrimp
 
Posts: 647
Joined: Wed Jun 25, 2008 5:58 am

Re: 1 in 32 chance of staying up!

Postby P/T Indie » Wed Apr 12, 2023 8:19 am

When do the other teams play their games in hand? That could end any hope that people are clinging to.
Eintracht Branschweigs answer to Shrimps Voices

http://eintracht-demo.forumieren.com/index.htm

For a great footballing day out
P/T Indie
 
Posts: 3833
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2008 3:54 pm

Re: 1 in 32 chance of staying up!

Postby Keith » Wed Apr 12, 2023 8:59 am

broadwayshrimp wrote:Even better. It's 1 in 16 isn't it.


You're right! 1 in 16 in 'the cup'.
“Britain faces a simple and inescapable choice - stability and strong Government with me, or chaos with Ed Miliband: ".

David Cameron. May 4th 2015.
So how did that work out then?
User avatar
Keith
Site Admin
 
Posts: 22413
Joined: Wed Jun 18, 2008 3:39 pm
Location: Isle of Man

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby broadwayshrimp » Sat Apr 15, 2023 3:56 pm

Make that 1 in 8 :D
broadwayshrimp
 
Posts: 647
Joined: Wed Jun 25, 2008 5:58 am

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby Keith » Sat Apr 15, 2023 3:58 pm

broadwayshrimp wrote:Make that 1 in 8 :D


What a great win! Still in the cup! :D :D :D :lol:
“Britain faces a simple and inescapable choice - stability and strong Government with me, or chaos with Ed Miliband: ".

David Cameron. May 4th 2015.
So how did that work out then?
User avatar
Keith
Site Admin
 
Posts: 22413
Joined: Wed Jun 18, 2008 3:39 pm
Location: Isle of Man

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby black morse » Sat Apr 15, 2023 9:36 pm

Apparently some talk of us being deducted points for late payment of wages :cry:
black morse
 
Posts: 5577
Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2011 7:59 am
Location: South Devon

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby Keith » Sat Apr 15, 2023 10:50 pm

black morse wrote:Apparently some talk of us being deducted points for late payment of wages :cry:


Pretty sure there won't be points deduction for the first occurrence, it has happened at other clubs, that weren't deducted points.
“Britain faces a simple and inescapable choice - stability and strong Government with me, or chaos with Ed Miliband: ".

David Cameron. May 4th 2015.
So how did that work out then?
User avatar
Keith
Site Admin
 
Posts: 22413
Joined: Wed Jun 18, 2008 3:39 pm
Location: Isle of Man

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby black morse » Sun Apr 16, 2023 9:19 am

Keith wrote:
black morse wrote:Apparently some talk of us being deducted points for late payment of wages :cry:


Pretty sure there won't be points deduction for the first occurrence, it has happened at other clubs, that weren't deducted points.


Hope you're right. It would be a pretty rotten way of being relegated :roll:
black morse
 
Posts: 5577
Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2011 7:59 am
Location: South Devon

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby BerlinWaller » Sun Apr 16, 2023 11:01 am

To have any chance at all of staying up with 3 games left is amazing and should be applauded with everything that has gone on this season.
BerlinWaller
 
Posts: 4348
Joined: Sun Jan 17, 2016 8:42 am

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby black morse » Tue Apr 18, 2023 8:06 am

BerlinWaller wrote:To have any chance at all of staying up with 3 games left is amazing and should be applauded with everything that has gone on this season.


Agree entirely!

Waiting with baited breath for tonight's results.
black morse
 
Posts: 5577
Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2011 7:59 am
Location: South Devon

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby black morse » Tue Apr 18, 2023 8:48 pm

Could have been a lot worse tonight :D
black morse
 
Posts: 5577
Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2011 7:59 am
Location: South Devon

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby Keith » Wed Apr 19, 2023 8:21 am

black morse wrote:Could have been a lot worse tonight :D


Still in with a chance. Can't see it actually happening, but there is still hope.
“Britain faces a simple and inescapable choice - stability and strong Government with me, or chaos with Ed Miliband: ".

David Cameron. May 4th 2015.
So how did that work out then?
User avatar
Keith
Site Admin
 
Posts: 22413
Joined: Wed Jun 18, 2008 3:39 pm
Location: Isle of Man

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby black morse » Wed Apr 19, 2023 8:25 am

Keith wrote:
black morse wrote:Could have been a lot worse tonight :D


Still in with a chance. Can't see it actually happening, but there is still hope.


All we have to do is win 3 more matches ;)
black morse
 
Posts: 5577
Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2011 7:59 am
Location: South Devon

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby redrobo » Wed Apr 19, 2023 8:40 am

black morse wrote:
Keith wrote:
black morse wrote:Could have been a lot worse tonight :D


Still in with a chance. Can't see it actually happening, but there is still hope.


All we have to do is win 3 more matches ;)


Sounds simple....but away form has been terrible. However now is the time for another DA inspired miracle.

Whatever happens we will still have memories and be an EFL club in season 23 / 24.
redrobo
 
Posts: 5701
Joined: Mon May 14, 2018 10:23 am

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby broadwayshrimp » Thu Apr 20, 2023 11:18 am

Keith's analogy of being in the quarter finals of the cup is a good one. Unlike some of the other teams around us there are no options for us so we have no need to over think it. Just concentrate on beating Charlton to get to the semis. Pressure on other teams will really begin to mount then.
broadwayshrimp
 
Posts: 647
Joined: Wed Jun 25, 2008 5:58 am

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby broadwayshrimp » Sat Apr 22, 2023 3:59 pm

Not looking far fetched anymore. We're in the semis :D
broadwayshrimp
 
Posts: 647
Joined: Wed Jun 25, 2008 5:58 am

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby Keith » Sat Apr 22, 2023 5:36 pm

broadwayshrimp wrote:Not looking far fetched anymore. We're in the semis :D


Bizarre that even though it still isn't in our own hands, I'm feeling pretty confident. 'Semi-final', beat Lincoln and then that huge final v Exeter.

We could win both and still not get the cup, but we're still in it!
“Britain faces a simple and inescapable choice - stability and strong Government with me, or chaos with Ed Miliband: ".

David Cameron. May 4th 2015.
So how did that work out then?
User avatar
Keith
Site Admin
 
Posts: 22413
Joined: Wed Jun 18, 2008 3:39 pm
Location: Isle of Man

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby Keith » Sat Apr 29, 2023 8:59 am

Semi-final day is here!

One from Milton Keynes, Morecambe, Accrington or Cambridge to win the prize of League One next season.

If you were a fan of the other clubs, who would be feeling most confident? It is all in Cambridge's hands. If they win all three games, they stay up. On paper, they have the easiest run in, Accrington, Burton & Forest Green. But, three games in a week and must win them all. They've not won three on the trot all season, now they have to win three in eight days. Two wins and a draw would probably be enough.

Milton Keynes should be favourite, as they aren't in the relegation zone. But, Barnsley & Burton are two tough games. A win and a draw will be enough, but they are bang out of form at just the wrong time.

Accrington should be least likely to pull off an amazing escape. If we win our two matches, they need to win theirs by six goals more than us. Their game today, against Cambridge will almost certainly see one of them relegated, realistically, if not mathematically.

And then there is us.

I know, we just need to concentrate on getting the job done today and next Saturday, but I'm sure most people at the game today will be keeping half an eye on scores elsewhere!

Ideal outcome...

Morecambe win.
Barnsley win.
Accrington win.


COME ON YOU SHRIMPS!!!
“Britain faces a simple and inescapable choice - stability and strong Government with me, or chaos with Ed Miliband: ".

David Cameron. May 4th 2015.
So how did that work out then?
User avatar
Keith
Site Admin
 
Posts: 22413
Joined: Wed Jun 18, 2008 3:39 pm
Location: Isle of Man

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby black morse » Sat Apr 29, 2023 6:43 pm

Keith wrote:Semi-final day is here!

One from Milton Keynes, Morecambe, Accrington or Cambridge to win the prize of League One next season.

If you were a fan of the other clubs, who would be feeling most confident? It is all in Cambridge's hands. If they win all three games, they stay up. On paper, they have the easiest run in, Accrington, Burton & Forest Green. But, three games in a week and must win them all. They've not won three on the trot all season, now they have to win three in eight days. Two wins and a draw would probably be enough.

Milton Keynes should be favourite, as they aren't in the relegation zone. But, Barnsley & Burton are two tough games. A win and a draw will be enough, but they are bang out of form at just the wrong time.

Accrington should be least likely to pull off an amazing escape. If we win our two matches, they need to win theirs by six goals more than us. Their game today, against Cambridge will almost certainly see one of them relegated, realistically, if not mathematically.

And then there is us.

I know, we just need to concentrate on getting the job done today and next Saturday, but I'm sure most people at the game today will be keeping half an eye on scores elsewhere!

Ideal outcome...

Morecambe win.
Barnsley win.
Accrington win.


COME ON YOU SHRIMPS!!!


Not the ideal outcome then Keith but it's now between MKD, Cambridge and us. We need Burton to take points off one of our rivals (preferably both)!
black morse
 
Posts: 5577
Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2011 7:59 am
Location: South Devon

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby Wild Bill » Sat Apr 29, 2023 9:21 pm

We've gone brilliantly well to take it to the last game. COYS
Wild Bill
 
Posts: 3025
Joined: Wed Jul 02, 2008 8:21 am

Re: 1 in 16 chance of staying up!

Postby broadwayshrimp » Sun Apr 30, 2023 6:55 am

Seemed a bit far fetched when originally posted but here we are in the 'final'. I know we have to win and rely on Burton to do us a two favours but hats off to Derek and and the lads for getting us this far.
broadwayshrimp
 
Posts: 647
Joined: Wed Jun 25, 2008 5:58 am

Next

Return to General Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot] and 101 guests